According to the Florida Association of realtors, RE business in Jacksonville is down some 30% from 2006.
But 2006 listings and sales were way off from 2005!
So...from 2005 to 2008, the business is actually off some 40%. I have seen hundreds of "For Sale By Owner" signs go up...stay on the market for a year...and disappear...waiting for better times.
I have seen properties listed with brokers change brokerages two and three times...and they STILL DON't SELL!
Buyers don't realize it but in 2005, they would have gladly given their right arm for a market like this. They thought they would never be able to get into the housing market or get that investment property...prices were rising fast and furiously!
Today, prices are dropping, the pressure is off, the psychological urgency is gone...buyers don't see the need to buy that special house....TODAY. Why not wait 'till next month, "maybe the seller will get desparate and lower the price even more".
It's all about marketing, my friends. There are good deals on the market right now that aren't being bought. They should be sold but there they sit. The good deals need to be handled with more skill and agility.
Repo's are really a pain in the *ss. The contracts are totally one sided and the casual buyer shouldn't get involved. The Repo market is for the experts. Call me at 904-422-5091 if you want to find out the details. The average guy working a 50 hour week at a job have no business speculating in repo's.
Buyers: Wake up and take advantage of the good deals. Sellers: Make sure your price reflects the lower market demand.
Check out Active Rain.com, your real estate business school online...
Sunday, January 13, 2008
Saturday, September 1, 2007
Bush Pushes ARM Foreclosure Assistance
Richard Newquist, Realtor PN, Live At The Beach . net
HUD No. 07-123
Steve O'Halloran
(202) 708-0685
www.hud.gov/news/
For Release
Friday
August 31, 2007
BUSH ADMINISTRATION TO HELP NEARLY ONE-QUARTER OF A MILLION HOMEOWNERS REFINANCE, KEEP THEIR HOMES
FHA to implement new "FHASecure" refinancing product
WASHINGTON - President George W. Bush today announced that HUD's Federal Housing Administration (FHA) will help an estimated 240,000 families avoid foreclosure by enhancing its refinancing program effective immediately. Under the new FHASecure plan, FHA will allow families with strong credit histories who had been making timely mortgage payments before their loans reset-but are now in default-to qualify for refinancing.
In addition, FHA will implement risk-based premiums that match the borrower's credit profile with the insurance premium they pay-i.e., riskier borrowers pay more. This common-sense, risk-based pricing structure will begin on January 1, 2008.
"Many hard-working American families who were able to make their mortgage payments under the initial teaser terms of the exotic loan are now struggling to make ends meet because their rates have doubled or tripled," said HUD Secretary Alphonso Jackson. "FHASecure will bring stability to the housing market and give eligible families who were in good financial standing before their loans reset a chance to keep their homes."
The FHASecure initiative will operate under the same safe guidelines as the FHA's existing mortgage insurance program without affecting FHA's financial health. Eligible homeowners will be required to meet strict underwriting guidelines and pay a mortgage insurance premium, which offsets the risk to FHA's insurance fund at no cost to the taxpayer.
FHASecure, like all FHA products, will be underwritten to ensure the borrowers have the ability to repay the loan, will require escrow for taxes and insurance, and will continue to offer unprecedented foreclosure prevention assistance. The FHA has never permitted and will not include pre-payment penalties or teaser rates that are common in exotic mortgages and have caused much of the current market troubles.
To qualify for FHASecure, eligible homeowners must meet the following five criteria:
A history of on-time mortgage payments before the borrower's teaser rates expired and loans reset;
Interest rates must have or will reset between June 2005 and December 2009;
Three percent cash or equity in the home;
A sustained history of employment; and
Sufficient income to make the mortgage payment.
"FHASecure is designed for families who are good borrowers but were steered into high-cost loans with teaser rates," said Assistant Secretary for Housing-FHA Commissioner Brian Montgomery. "These homeowners, many of whom are minorities, need a safe, affordable mortgage product that will help build wealth. All FHA borrowers pay mortgage insurance premiums to offset claims to the FHA insurance fund and ultimately prevent risk to the taxpayer."
For more information about FHASecure and other FHA products, please call 1-800-CALL-FHA or visit www.fha.gov or www.hud.gov. For a list of your local homeownership center or a HUD-approved housing counseling center, go to www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/hcc/hcs.cfm
HUD No. 07-123
Steve O'Halloran
(202) 708-0685
www.hud.gov/news/
For Release
Friday
August 31, 2007
BUSH ADMINISTRATION TO HELP NEARLY ONE-QUARTER OF A MILLION HOMEOWNERS REFINANCE, KEEP THEIR HOMES
FHA to implement new "FHASecure" refinancing product
WASHINGTON - President George W. Bush today announced that HUD's Federal Housing Administration (FHA) will help an estimated 240,000 families avoid foreclosure by enhancing its refinancing program effective immediately. Under the new FHASecure plan, FHA will allow families with strong credit histories who had been making timely mortgage payments before their loans reset-but are now in default-to qualify for refinancing.
In addition, FHA will implement risk-based premiums that match the borrower's credit profile with the insurance premium they pay-i.e., riskier borrowers pay more. This common-sense, risk-based pricing structure will begin on January 1, 2008.
"Many hard-working American families who were able to make their mortgage payments under the initial teaser terms of the exotic loan are now struggling to make ends meet because their rates have doubled or tripled," said HUD Secretary Alphonso Jackson. "FHASecure will bring stability to the housing market and give eligible families who were in good financial standing before their loans reset a chance to keep their homes."
The FHASecure initiative will operate under the same safe guidelines as the FHA's existing mortgage insurance program without affecting FHA's financial health. Eligible homeowners will be required to meet strict underwriting guidelines and pay a mortgage insurance premium, which offsets the risk to FHA's insurance fund at no cost to the taxpayer.
FHASecure, like all FHA products, will be underwritten to ensure the borrowers have the ability to repay the loan, will require escrow for taxes and insurance, and will continue to offer unprecedented foreclosure prevention assistance. The FHA has never permitted and will not include pre-payment penalties or teaser rates that are common in exotic mortgages and have caused much of the current market troubles.
To qualify for FHASecure, eligible homeowners must meet the following five criteria:
A history of on-time mortgage payments before the borrower's teaser rates expired and loans reset;
Interest rates must have or will reset between June 2005 and December 2009;
Three percent cash or equity in the home;
A sustained history of employment; and
Sufficient income to make the mortgage payment.
"FHASecure is designed for families who are good borrowers but were steered into high-cost loans with teaser rates," said Assistant Secretary for Housing-FHA Commissioner Brian Montgomery. "These homeowners, many of whom are minorities, need a safe, affordable mortgage product that will help build wealth. All FHA borrowers pay mortgage insurance premiums to offset claims to the FHA insurance fund and ultimately prevent risk to the taxpayer."
For more information about FHASecure and other FHA products, please call 1-800-CALL-FHA or visit www.fha.gov or www.hud.gov. For a list of your local homeownership center or a HUD-approved housing counseling center, go to www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/hcc/hcs.cfm
Saturday, August 25, 2007
Monday, August 20, 2007
Richard Newquist, Realtor PN, www.liveatthebeach.net
www.xcelmarketing.net
Experience Jacksonville Week: Your Florida Destination
CONTACT:
Lyndsay Rossman, Director of Corporate Communications
lrossman@jaxcvb.com
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (July 9, 2007) – Northeast Florida businesses are partnering with the Jacksonville & the Beaches Convention and Visitors Bureau (CVB) to promote tourism to local residents from August 6-11, 2007 during Experience Jacksonville: Your Florida Destination Week. The week-long event will offer residents “Destination Deals” as a chance to save on area accommodations, attractions, restaurants, retail, nightlife hotspots, sports events and transportation services.
Richard Newquist, Coral Shores realtor, is offering tours of beachside properties from $3million to $140,000 homes and condos. Reach him at newquist@liveatthebeach.net.
“No longer can kids and adults say there is nothing to do at home…Experience Jacksonville Week gives local residents the opportunity to discover their own hometown and realize why millions of visitors enjoy our destination each year,” said John Reyes, president and CEO of the CVB. “Through the generous discounts offered by CVB tourism Partners, residents won’t have to travel very far to experience a wide range of activities. What better way to end the summer before school starts?”
Coupons for “Destination Deals” at over 50 local businesses are available at area visitors centers* and online at www.experiencejacksonville.org. Coupons must be presented to receive discounts and are only valid during Experience Jacksonville Week. Local news stations will also be promoting the celebration with giveaways throughout the week.
Experience Jacksonville: Your Florida Destination Week is a celebration of National Tourism Week observed nationally in May each year. Jacksonville delayed its annual concurrent celebration to avoid conflicting with THE PLAYERS Championship, held from May 10-13, 2007.
*For a listing of CVB Visitors Center locations, visit www.visitjacksonville.com.
www.xcelmarketing.net
Experience Jacksonville Week: Your Florida Destination
CONTACT:
Lyndsay Rossman, Director of Corporate Communications
lrossman@jaxcvb.com
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (July 9, 2007) – Northeast Florida businesses are partnering with the Jacksonville & the Beaches Convention and Visitors Bureau (CVB) to promote tourism to local residents from August 6-11, 2007 during Experience Jacksonville: Your Florida Destination Week. The week-long event will offer residents “Destination Deals” as a chance to save on area accommodations, attractions, restaurants, retail, nightlife hotspots, sports events and transportation services.
Richard Newquist, Coral Shores realtor, is offering tours of beachside properties from $3million to $140,000 homes and condos. Reach him at newquist@liveatthebeach.net.
“No longer can kids and adults say there is nothing to do at home…Experience Jacksonville Week gives local residents the opportunity to discover their own hometown and realize why millions of visitors enjoy our destination each year,” said John Reyes, president and CEO of the CVB. “Through the generous discounts offered by CVB tourism Partners, residents won’t have to travel very far to experience a wide range of activities. What better way to end the summer before school starts?”
Coupons for “Destination Deals” at over 50 local businesses are available at area visitors centers* and online at www.experiencejacksonville.org. Coupons must be presented to receive discounts and are only valid during Experience Jacksonville Week. Local news stations will also be promoting the celebration with giveaways throughout the week.
Experience Jacksonville: Your Florida Destination Week is a celebration of National Tourism Week observed nationally in May each year. Jacksonville delayed its annual concurrent celebration to avoid conflicting with THE PLAYERS Championship, held from May 10-13, 2007.
*For a listing of CVB Visitors Center locations, visit www.visitjacksonville.com.
Thursday, July 19, 2007
Florida Is Business Friendly Says Forbes !
Richard Newquist, Realtor, PN at: www.liveatthebeach.net in Jacksonville Florida says:
Study: Florida among top 10 business-friendly states...WOO HOO! Something good is being reported!
NEW YORK – July 19, 2007 – Florida is as one of the best places to do business, ranking seventh in the 2007 listing of business-friendly states by Forbes.com. For the second year in a row, Forbes.com has ranked the top states for business, taking into account living costs, job and income growth, and educational achievement, as well as projections of job, income, and gross state product growth.
Forbes also measured the amount of available venture capital and how much red tape state governments inject in the business environment.
Who came in as No. 1? Virginia was the top-ranked state for the second year, finishing in the top 10 in four of the six main categories. Its strongest attributes include environmental incentives and a low unemployment rate. Here are the top 10 states and their rankings from Forbes.com: Virginia (1); Utah (2); North Carolina (3); Texas (4); Washington (5); Idaho (6); Florida (7); Colorado (8); North Dakota (9); and Minnesota (10).
Source: Forbes.com, Kurt Badenhausen (07/11/07)
Study: Florida among top 10 business-friendly states...WOO HOO! Something good is being reported!
NEW YORK – July 19, 2007 – Florida is as one of the best places to do business, ranking seventh in the 2007 listing of business-friendly states by Forbes.com. For the second year in a row, Forbes.com has ranked the top states for business, taking into account living costs, job and income growth, and educational achievement, as well as projections of job, income, and gross state product growth.
Forbes also measured the amount of available venture capital and how much red tape state governments inject in the business environment.
Who came in as No. 1? Virginia was the top-ranked state for the second year, finishing in the top 10 in four of the six main categories. Its strongest attributes include environmental incentives and a low unemployment rate. Here are the top 10 states and their rankings from Forbes.com: Virginia (1); Utah (2); North Carolina (3); Texas (4); Washington (5); Idaho (6); Florida (7); Colorado (8); North Dakota (9); and Minnesota (10).
Source: Forbes.com, Kurt Badenhausen (07/11/07)
Friday, July 13, 2007
They Done Did It Again!
My Safe Florida Home eliminates grants for most roof renovations!
Richard Newquist, Realtor Par Non (PN) Live At The Beach!
This is from www.floridarealtors.org which reprinted it from the Palm Beach Post.
This is the way it goes in Florida! The government giveth and the government taketh away. The biggest problem with hurricane protection is roof protection. The State legislature never got it together on roof repairs. They are willing to assist with window covers and garage door strengthening but not roofs! They can't agree on how to strengthen roofs against hurricanes!
Their consutant, Leslie Chapman-Henderson, president of the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes, a nonprofit that helped develop the My Safe Florida Home program has taken their consulting fees but, sorry to say, can't help out in THIS case.
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – July 13, 2007 – Tens of thousands of homeowners seeking financial aid from a state program to reinforce their roofs against hurricanes may be blown away by what they find.
Over the past few months, the My Safe Florida Home program has eliminated most roof retrofits from its list of improvements for which homeowners can be reimbursed up to $5,000.
Lawmakers ordered the changes to the $250 million mitigation program during the spring legislative session even though studies show roof problems were the primary cause of further damage to homes during Florida’s busy 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons.
Adding to the lawmakers’ reluctance are the disagreements among roofers and local building departments as to the best way to implement suggested roof renovations. Lawmakers have ordered the Florida Building Commission to come up with statewide guidelines by Oct. 1.
State Sen. Bill Posey, R-Rockledge, said eliminating most funding for roof retrofitting will prevent abuse by homeowners who try to bill the state for replacing old, leaking roofs.
“We shouldn’t be paying for routine maintenance,” said Posey, chairman of the Senate Banking and Insurance Committee.
My Safe Florida Home has been plagued by problems since it was first funded by the legislature in May 2006. For example, it has awarded less than $1.2 million in home-hardening grants so far.
The changes mean that more than 50,000 homeowners – including about 11,000 in Palm Beach, Martin and St. Lucie counties – whose residences were inspected after April 22 will have more limited options for the maximum $5,000 state grant.
About 14,000 homeowners whose homes were inspected in the initial phase of the program will not be bound by the new restrictions, state officials said. That would include more than 2,300 homeowners in Palm Beach, Martin and St. Lucie counties.
But going forward, the state will pay mostly for exterior wall and door protections, such as hurricane shutters and hurricane-related garage doors.
It will pay for limited roofing work in homes with gabled roofs. Those homes will be eligible for bracing gable ends because they provide additional support, Posey said.
In South Florida, however, most homes don’t have gabled roofs. Gone are grants for upgrading roof shingles, reinforcing roof-to-wall connections, creating a secondary roof covering or barrier to prevent water intrusion, and improving the strength of roof deck attachments.
Officials at the state Department of Financial Services, which runs the My Safe Florida Home program, had no choice but to follow the mandate of the legislature in restricting the program, spokeswoman Tara Klimek said.
But the changes were not publicly announced by Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink, who just last week made an appearance in Pensacola to award a grant to a homeowner.
On Tuesday, the state’s Web site, www.mysafefloridahome.com, had conflicting information about which home modifications are covered under the program. Both the new and old requirements are listed.
Klimek said homeowners on a waiting list to obtain the program’s free home inspections were notified of the changes by e-mail if the state had their addresses on file.
Lawmakers had cited the popular home modification program as the long-term solution to Florida’s high homeowners’ insurance rates. Hardened homes will cause fewer losses for insurers during hurricanes, allowing rates to stabilize, they said. Insurers also offer discounts for homeowners who make modifications.
Klimek said more funding for the program should be released quickly. She said more than 5,000 residents have been approved for grants and will receive the money once they show they have finished recommended renovations.
The latest challenge may be reaching an agreement on how to implement roof retrofits and what should be covered by the grants.
“Roofing is the last frontier of mitigation,” said Leslie Chapman-Henderson, president of the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes, a nonprofit that helped develop the My Safe Florida Home program.
That’s important because 90 percent of homes sustaining damage during Florida’s most recent hurricanes had roof damage, said Wanda Edwards, an engineer who serves as director of code development for the insurance industry-funded Institute for Business and Home Safety.
She said the amount of damage due to broken windows without hurricane shutters would be small by comparison.
Posey said legislators can expand the My Safe Florida Home program to include more roof work if the building commission can come up with cost-effective ways to perform roof rehabilitation.
Meanwhile, Klimek said homeowners are free to use their own money to do roof modifications. She said the free reports by state-certified inspectors will specify what roofing work needs to be done.
Copyright © 2007 The Palm Beach Post, Fla., Randy Diamond. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.
Richard Newquist, Realtor Par Non (PN) Live At The Beach!
This is from www.floridarealtors.org which reprinted it from the Palm Beach Post.
This is the way it goes in Florida! The government giveth and the government taketh away. The biggest problem with hurricane protection is roof protection. The State legislature never got it together on roof repairs. They are willing to assist with window covers and garage door strengthening but not roofs! They can't agree on how to strengthen roofs against hurricanes!
Their consutant, Leslie Chapman-Henderson, president of the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes, a nonprofit that helped develop the My Safe Florida Home program has taken their consulting fees but, sorry to say, can't help out in THIS case.
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – July 13, 2007 – Tens of thousands of homeowners seeking financial aid from a state program to reinforce their roofs against hurricanes may be blown away by what they find.
Over the past few months, the My Safe Florida Home program has eliminated most roof retrofits from its list of improvements for which homeowners can be reimbursed up to $5,000.
Lawmakers ordered the changes to the $250 million mitigation program during the spring legislative session even though studies show roof problems were the primary cause of further damage to homes during Florida’s busy 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons.
Adding to the lawmakers’ reluctance are the disagreements among roofers and local building departments as to the best way to implement suggested roof renovations. Lawmakers have ordered the Florida Building Commission to come up with statewide guidelines by Oct. 1.
State Sen. Bill Posey, R-Rockledge, said eliminating most funding for roof retrofitting will prevent abuse by homeowners who try to bill the state for replacing old, leaking roofs.
“We shouldn’t be paying for routine maintenance,” said Posey, chairman of the Senate Banking and Insurance Committee.
My Safe Florida Home has been plagued by problems since it was first funded by the legislature in May 2006. For example, it has awarded less than $1.2 million in home-hardening grants so far.
The changes mean that more than 50,000 homeowners – including about 11,000 in Palm Beach, Martin and St. Lucie counties – whose residences were inspected after April 22 will have more limited options for the maximum $5,000 state grant.
About 14,000 homeowners whose homes were inspected in the initial phase of the program will not be bound by the new restrictions, state officials said. That would include more than 2,300 homeowners in Palm Beach, Martin and St. Lucie counties.
But going forward, the state will pay mostly for exterior wall and door protections, such as hurricane shutters and hurricane-related garage doors.
It will pay for limited roofing work in homes with gabled roofs. Those homes will be eligible for bracing gable ends because they provide additional support, Posey said.
In South Florida, however, most homes don’t have gabled roofs. Gone are grants for upgrading roof shingles, reinforcing roof-to-wall connections, creating a secondary roof covering or barrier to prevent water intrusion, and improving the strength of roof deck attachments.
Officials at the state Department of Financial Services, which runs the My Safe Florida Home program, had no choice but to follow the mandate of the legislature in restricting the program, spokeswoman Tara Klimek said.
But the changes were not publicly announced by Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink, who just last week made an appearance in Pensacola to award a grant to a homeowner.
On Tuesday, the state’s Web site, www.mysafefloridahome.com, had conflicting information about which home modifications are covered under the program. Both the new and old requirements are listed.
Klimek said homeowners on a waiting list to obtain the program’s free home inspections were notified of the changes by e-mail if the state had their addresses on file.
Lawmakers had cited the popular home modification program as the long-term solution to Florida’s high homeowners’ insurance rates. Hardened homes will cause fewer losses for insurers during hurricanes, allowing rates to stabilize, they said. Insurers also offer discounts for homeowners who make modifications.
Klimek said more funding for the program should be released quickly. She said more than 5,000 residents have been approved for grants and will receive the money once they show they have finished recommended renovations.
The latest challenge may be reaching an agreement on how to implement roof retrofits and what should be covered by the grants.
“Roofing is the last frontier of mitigation,” said Leslie Chapman-Henderson, president of the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes, a nonprofit that helped develop the My Safe Florida Home program.
That’s important because 90 percent of homes sustaining damage during Florida’s most recent hurricanes had roof damage, said Wanda Edwards, an engineer who serves as director of code development for the insurance industry-funded Institute for Business and Home Safety.
She said the amount of damage due to broken windows without hurricane shutters would be small by comparison.
Posey said legislators can expand the My Safe Florida Home program to include more roof work if the building commission can come up with cost-effective ways to perform roof rehabilitation.
Meanwhile, Klimek said homeowners are free to use their own money to do roof modifications. She said the free reports by state-certified inspectors will specify what roofing work needs to be done.
Copyright © 2007 The Palm Beach Post, Fla., Randy Diamond. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.
Tuesday, May 15, 2007
Palm Beach Post
Richard Newquist Realtor
Live At The Beach.net
Here's an article that takes a slightly different approach to explaining Florida Real Estate:
By Linda Rawls
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 14, 2007
Who's going to blink first?
The region's once-sizzling housing market - which for nearly five years lured investors with double-digit gains, easy credit and 40-year-low interest rates - has simmered to a showdown.
South Floridareal estate
Take a look at housing in our area, which has become one of the U.S.' most volatile markets.• Blogs, property listings, more A look at the effects of a volatile housing market on homeowners and builders. Post reporters' blog serves up latest updates and chat on South Florida real estate. Chat about the maddening twists of homeowners insurance on our blog.
More Business
Latest news, columnists, stocks, market tools• Mortgage rates
Indeed, some market watchers believe home prices are the object of a high-stakes tug of war between home buyers in Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast armed with low interest rates, and home sellers who refuse to budge from boom-time home prices despite rising inventory, surging foreclosures and tightened credit standards.
"Even to this day we still have stubborn sellers who aren't being realistic," said Mike Larson, a real estate analyst with Weiss Research in Jupiter. "Some won't accept that the market has changed, and lower their prices." The result has been a painful slowdown with a ripple effect that has even local retailers crying foul as they see their sales dip. As the song says, "Something's gotta give," and experts are betting that sellers will blink first.
And when they do, they'll see a buyer's market.
Meanwhile, Palm Beach County teacher Stephen Luzinski wonders why prices have not already come down more.
"I am still waiting for prices to fall," said Luzinski, who's looking to buy his first home.
"I am out in this housing market almost every single day, but there does not seem to be a whole lot of budging by the owners," he said, eyes wide open. "It seems that most sellers are still looking to double, triple or quadruple what they paid for their house."
Flood of foreclosures
Such seller attitudes are unlikely to last, according to real estate forecasters. Primarily because there are just too many homes on the market. Nationwide, the number of vacant unsold units in the first quarter of this year set a record, the U.S. Commerce Department said recently, continuing a sharp upward trend that started last year.
David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, puts the number at an "excess of about 1.4 million." Swelling inventory caused the National Association of Realtors to create a mini-stir last week when it revised its forecast to predict that existing-home prices would fall this year for the first time since the Great Depression. The 1 percent predicted drop - to $219,800 - is not as earth-shaking as it sounds, given that home prices in 38 of the 50 states declined in 2006, local real estate consultant Jack McCabe said.
Local home prices already have started their downward march, Realtors say, though they're not moving as fast as some would like.
The median price of an existing single-family home in Palm Beach County fell from $388,000 in January to $375,100 in March. In the Treasure Coast, however, prices have barely budged since the first of the year, remaining at a median of $239,700 in March. (April home sales figures come out next week.)
The number of unsold homes on the market from Boca Raton to Vero Beach has been steadily rising, surging to a record 24,028 homes for sale in March, according to Illustrated Properties Real Estate. That's a 27-month supply at the March sales pace. The same month a year ago, there were 18,178 unsold homes.
Unfortunately, this surge in inventory will be swelled soon by foreclosures, which are reaching record numbers across the nation and locally. "The biggest problem for single-family medium-priced homes is the beginning of this flood of foreclosures," Delray Beach developer Frank McKinney said. "If you're an optimist, it's a buying opportunity."
Not surprisingly, Realtors agree.
"What billionaire said, 'If you want to make money, do the opposite of what everyone else is doing'?" asked Realtor Bob Graeve of Illustrated Properties. "If everyone is selling," he added, "it's time to buy. If everyone is buying, that's the time to sell."
Live At The Beach.net
Here's an article that takes a slightly different approach to explaining Florida Real Estate:
By Linda Rawls
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 14, 2007
Who's going to blink first?
The region's once-sizzling housing market - which for nearly five years lured investors with double-digit gains, easy credit and 40-year-low interest rates - has simmered to a showdown.
South Floridareal estate
Take a look at housing in our area, which has become one of the U.S.' most volatile markets.• Blogs, property listings, more A look at the effects of a volatile housing market on homeowners and builders. Post reporters' blog serves up latest updates and chat on South Florida real estate. Chat about the maddening twists of homeowners insurance on our blog.
More Business
Latest news, columnists, stocks, market tools• Mortgage rates
Indeed, some market watchers believe home prices are the object of a high-stakes tug of war between home buyers in Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast armed with low interest rates, and home sellers who refuse to budge from boom-time home prices despite rising inventory, surging foreclosures and tightened credit standards.
"Even to this day we still have stubborn sellers who aren't being realistic," said Mike Larson, a real estate analyst with Weiss Research in Jupiter. "Some won't accept that the market has changed, and lower their prices." The result has been a painful slowdown with a ripple effect that has even local retailers crying foul as they see their sales dip. As the song says, "Something's gotta give," and experts are betting that sellers will blink first.
And when they do, they'll see a buyer's market.
Meanwhile, Palm Beach County teacher Stephen Luzinski wonders why prices have not already come down more.
"I am still waiting for prices to fall," said Luzinski, who's looking to buy his first home.
"I am out in this housing market almost every single day, but there does not seem to be a whole lot of budging by the owners," he said, eyes wide open. "It seems that most sellers are still looking to double, triple or quadruple what they paid for their house."
Flood of foreclosures
Such seller attitudes are unlikely to last, according to real estate forecasters. Primarily because there are just too many homes on the market. Nationwide, the number of vacant unsold units in the first quarter of this year set a record, the U.S. Commerce Department said recently, continuing a sharp upward trend that started last year.
David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, puts the number at an "excess of about 1.4 million." Swelling inventory caused the National Association of Realtors to create a mini-stir last week when it revised its forecast to predict that existing-home prices would fall this year for the first time since the Great Depression. The 1 percent predicted drop - to $219,800 - is not as earth-shaking as it sounds, given that home prices in 38 of the 50 states declined in 2006, local real estate consultant Jack McCabe said.
Local home prices already have started their downward march, Realtors say, though they're not moving as fast as some would like.
The median price of an existing single-family home in Palm Beach County fell from $388,000 in January to $375,100 in March. In the Treasure Coast, however, prices have barely budged since the first of the year, remaining at a median of $239,700 in March. (April home sales figures come out next week.)
The number of unsold homes on the market from Boca Raton to Vero Beach has been steadily rising, surging to a record 24,028 homes for sale in March, according to Illustrated Properties Real Estate. That's a 27-month supply at the March sales pace. The same month a year ago, there were 18,178 unsold homes.
Unfortunately, this surge in inventory will be swelled soon by foreclosures, which are reaching record numbers across the nation and locally. "The biggest problem for single-family medium-priced homes is the beginning of this flood of foreclosures," Delray Beach developer Frank McKinney said. "If you're an optimist, it's a buying opportunity."
Not surprisingly, Realtors agree.
"What billionaire said, 'If you want to make money, do the opposite of what everyone else is doing'?" asked Realtor Bob Graeve of Illustrated Properties. "If everyone is selling," he added, "it's time to buy. If everyone is buying, that's the time to sell."
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